I just read an article by Terrence Jeffries reporting that the Director of National Intelligence, Daniel Coats, just submitted a threat assessment to the Senate Armed Services Committee stating the following about climate change:
Environment and Climate Change
The impacts of the long-term trends toward a warming climate, more air pollution, biodiversity loss, and water scarcity are likely to fuel economic and social discontent—and possibly upheaval—through 2018.
- The past 115 years have been the warmest period in the history of modern civilization, and the past few years have been the warmest years on record. Extreme weather events in a warmer world have the potential for greater impacts and can compound with other drivers to raise the risk of humanitarian disasters, conflict, water and food shortages, population migration, labor shortfalls, price shocks, and power outages. Research has not identified indicators of tipping points in climate-linked earth systems, suggesting a possibility of abrupt climate change.
- Worsening air pollution from forest burning, agricultural waste incineration, urbanization, and rapid industrialization—with increasing public awareness—might drive protests against authorities, such as those recently in China, India, and Iran.
- Accelerating biodiversity and species loss—driven by pollution, warming, unsustainable fishing, and acidifying oceans—will jeopardize vital ecosystems that support critical human systems. Recent estimates suggest that the current extinction rate is 100 to 1,000 times the natural extinction rate.
- Water scarcity, compounded by gaps in cooperative management agreements for nearly half of the world’s international river basins, and new unilateral dam development are likely to heighten tension between countries.
Director Coats should be fired for publishing such rubbish. First, the DNI is getting its climate projections from the U.N.’s IPCC, which has been known to not be reliable. The IPCC routinely rejects accurate data that shows the earth is not warming and continues to present the false narrative of a dangerously warming planet. NOAA and NASA routinely adjust temperature measurement data to make it show warming. The earth has warmed about .06º C over a decade. But that is not an earth shaking increase nor is it outside the range of natural variability, according to a number of experienced meteorologists. A warming earth is good for the planet. Animals, generally, do better. Humans do better, and plant life flourishes.
Catastrophic weather events have not been on the increase, nor are they getting stronger, but just the opposite. We have seen a decline in hurricanes of cat 3 strength or larger, a decline in severe tornados, a decline in drought, and a decline in forest fires. Catastrophic weather events may seem worse but it is due to the media coverage rather than the event itself. None of the events of the recent past has been unprecedented. Our meteorological and geological history tells us they have happened in the past. Any warming we have seen has been from natural forces, such as El Ninos, El Ninas, Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Solar activity, etc. The biggest problem that can be on the horizon, it seems, is that we are likely heading into a period of global cooling that could thrust us into a deep freeze within a decade or two. Cold kills more people than hot weather. Cold shortens growing seasons for food crops. Cold taxes our energy grid substantially.
The Little Ice Age officially ended in 1860, a little over a 150 years ago. Certainly, we have warmed since then, because of an active Sun. It was to be expected. We have gone through a number of ice ages and warmed up in between, often warmer than we are now, and with much higher levels of CO2. That warming did not cause catastrophe but helped the earth to flourish again.
A number of scientists are now warning that the Sun is showing indications that it is going into its cyclic period of low activity. This means we will be getting colder, perhaps for an extended period of time. But such events are beyond our control, just as climate changing is beyond our control. There is no empirical evidence that climate change or global warming is caused by CO2. CO2 is not the magic control knob that we can use to control the climate or the weather. Weather and climate are the result of a multitude of natural forces, none of which we can control. Anyone who says differently is lying.